India: Life insurance industry to surpass US$216bn by 2028, forecasts GlobalData

India’s life insurance industry is set to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% to INR13.5tn ($216.1bn) in 2028 from INR9.3tnin 2024 in terms of gross written premiums (GWP), forecasts GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

According to GlobalData’s Insurance database, after slowing down in 2023, the Indian life insurance industry is expected to regain momentum in 2024 due to the increase in demand for traditional life insurance policies. Additionally, new regulations emphasising inclusivity and advancements in InsurTech are expected to facilitate the introduction of new products and expand insurance coverage, further supporting industry growth.

Ms Aarti Sharma, an insurance analyst at GlobalData, said, “As inflation persists above the 4% target, the relatively high-interest rate environment with a 6.5% key policy rate is anticipated to remain unchanged throughout 2024. This higher interest rate, combined with the positive economic outlook, will bolster the introduction of new products and drive demand for non-linked life insurance policies.”

Non-linked insurance policies are expected to account for 87.5% share of the total life insurance GWP in 2024, and the prevailing high interest rates will aid insurers and policyholders in reaping better investment results. Non-linked insurance policies are expected to record a CAGR of 10.4% over 2024–28.

The International Monetary Fund revised India’s GDP growth projection by 30 basis points to 6.8% in 2024 and 6.5% in 2025, supported by robust domestic demand and a growing working-age population. The positive economic outlook will support growth in the life insurance industry.

Ms Sharma also said that the increasing focus on improving insurance access in rural and underserved areas will also help in increasing insurance penetration.

The IRDAI issued guidelines to expand insurance coverage in rural areas which entered into effect from 1 April 2024. Life insurers have been directed to insure a certain number of lives across gram panchayats (villages) under individual or group policies. In the first year, each life insurer must cover at least 10% of lives across 25,000 gram panchayats. This initiative will help in increasing life insurance uptake in rural areas.

InsurTech developments and digitalisation to ease insurance access will also support life insurance growth. The approval of Bima Sugam, a digital insurance marketplace, in March 2024 is likely to be a massive game-changer in the Indian insurance industry. The website is a one-stop end-to-end insurance solution for all stakeholders, linking insurers, intermediaries, and customers. It is expected to be launched over 2024–25, as part of IRDAI’s aim to insure the entire population by 2047.

Furthermore, Bima Sugam will enable comparison of life insurance products of all insurers, which will lead to competitive pricing and prompt insurers to launch affordable and customised insurance policies.

Insurers are also adopting technology to improve services with the use of mobile apps and chatbots. Insurers’ adoption of technologies like AI, blockchain, and machine learning is aiding in the faster processing of claims, and identifying fraudulent claims. AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants engage with customers in real time, answering queries, providing information about insurance products, and assisting in the purchase process. This helps to improve the customer experience and boost sales conversion rates.

 

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